The speech of H.E. Dr. Mahathir Mohamad, the Prime Minister of Malaysia,
made at the Islamic Cultural Center in Northbrook, Illinois, at the
Lariba Dinner/Award ceremony on September 1, 2000, in the presence of
about 250 persons including many well known personalities from American
American-Muslim public life. As the majority of the membership of the
ICC are Bosnians, they have taken this opportunity to express their
gratitude to Dr. Mahathir and Malaysia for their significant support
and help to the Bosnians during the Serbian aggression. Mr. Husein Zivalj,
Bosnian Deputy Foreign Minister, came specially for this occasion from
Bosnia, and he spoke at the ceremony expressing appreciation of the
Bosnian people to Dr. Mahathir. Over seventy well known Bosnians were
present at the ceremony and they have received Dr. Mahathir and his
speech with much enthusiasm. His spoken remarks about Bosnia were unfortunately
not recorded.. However, they were, as always, optimistic and very supportive.
As one of his last official acts, two days before the effective date
of his resignation from the Presidency, the former Bosnian President
Alija Izetbegovic, had received Dr. Mahathir and have expressed the
Bosnian gratitude for all support and help received from Dr. Mahathir
and Malaysia. At the same time the Bosnian Publishing House “Ljiljan”
have published the Bosnian translation of Dr. Mahathir’s well
known book “A New Deal for Asia”, which have become a mandatory
reading for Bosnian economists.
The editors of our Bosnian magazine Tribina Bosnjaka and its web page
are highly recommending to all our readers to order this book from Ljiljan,
with address : Mehmeda Spahe, Sarajevo (tel. : 387-33-656-483 or 444-196),
for the price of 14 KM, which is about $7.00, plus shipping. This book
attempts to determine if the Asia, after chaos caused by the Asian monetary
crisis, can get prepared for the new millennium based on some new concepts.
Dr. Mohathir thinks that this is not the time to look for the culprits
for the crisis but that we concentrate on the research for the methods
and the basis on which is the global economic system based. This is
the moment to look forward and look to the future. However, nothing
could be accomplished in an isolation. From the former crisis we should
all learn that we have all common destiny and we should be ready to
examine some of the most basic assumptions of global capitalism. This
book is also analyzing some of the basic themes of the political projects
of Dr. Mahathir. As an architect and the builder of phenomenal development
of modern Malaysia in the last decade, Dr. Mahathir and his book are
causing much controversy and interest everywhere.
THE HON. DATO SERI DR MAHATHIR BIN MOHAMAD
CHICAGO, USA
1 SEPTEMBER 2000
AT THE LARIBA LIFE TIME ACHIEVEMENT AWARD CEREMONY
"MALAYSIA'S EXPERIENCE - LESSONS FOR THE UMMAH"
I wish to express my sincere appreciation to the American Finance House
LARIBA for conferring on me this Life Time Achievement Award for my
role in resolving the financial crisis in Malaysia. I am particularly
honored since I understand that I am the first ever to receive this
award.
2. While I accept this recognition with much humility and appreciation,
in reality it is the Malaysians who truly deserve this award. It was
with the sincere support, deep understanding and full cooperation of
the vast majority of the Malaysians that we succeeded in defending our
economy against the deliberate attempts by certain forces to destroy
it. We had to do it on our own without resorting to IMF or World Bank
or other countries' help. I would therefore like to accept this prestigious
award from LARIBA as an honor for the Malaysian people.
3. The Islamic world today is full of paradoxes and contradictions.
Despite being resource rich, we are economically poor and weak. While
some of us live amidst plenty, the majority of the ummah live in abject
poverty. While there are many breakthroughs in science and technology,
for most of the Muslim ummah the condition is one of widespread ignorance
and backwardness.
4. This is in stark contrast to the golden age of Islam, which was
a period of temporal as well as spiritual achievement, an age of conquest
and brilliance. The Persian empire and much of the Roman Empire fell
to the Muslims. Islam quickly established a new order stretching from
the Pyrenees to the Himalayas, an empire larger than the Roman at its
height.
5. How low have we fallen today, compared to what we were before. It
is time for the Islamic World to take a hard look at itself and decide
whether we want to move forward and how we can do so. I say whether
we want to move forward because a significant number of us do not want
to do so and many others are afraid to oppose them because they invoke
Islam as the reason for their stand and everything that they do. Unless
we decide to go forward, it is useless for us to attempt to do so.
6. Like the early Muslims, who were great traders, Malaysia believes
in free trade. In Malaysia, there are no restrictions against exports
or imports. We also welcome foreign direct investments (FDIs) into Malaysia
and we do not restrict the repatriation of profits and capital. We established
an Islamic financial system to enable Muslims to enjoy the benefits
of a modern financial system, but on bases consistent with Islam. We
were prudent in our financial management. We prepaid our external loans,
whenever we had excess funds. The Government never, in all its history,
resorted to the Central Bank for deficit financing. We created a viable
and vibrant stock exchange to enable Malaysian companies to raise capital
easily. We embraced privatization in a big way. We believed that the
Government has to be practical and pragmatic in its development strategy,
and emulate what has been successfully implemented elsewhere. There
was no point in reinventing the wheel.
7. At the same time, however, we were, like the early Muslims, original
in our approach. The first has to do with growth. While we did all that
is traditionally required to promote GDP growth, we also ensured that
there was growth with equity, a concept that was criticized by the West,
which believes in the survival and prosperity of the fittest and the
most efficient.
8. The objective of growth with equity has a particular significance
in Malaysia with its multi- ethnic and multi religious population. The
indigenous population (known as Bumiputeras), make up about 60 per cent
of the population. About 90 per cent of the Bumiputeras are Muslims.
In terms of wealth and income, the Bumiputeras had always lagged behind
the non-Bumiputeras. In 1970, we embarked on a New Economic Policy (NEP)
to ensure that the Bumiputeras enjoy their fair share of the economic
pie. The NEP was not to be implemented by taking away from the rich
in order to hand out to the poor. The NEP was to be implemented by ensuring
that a bigger portion of an expanded economic pie goes to the Bumiputeras.
We were relatively successful in this socio-economic restructuring and
in the process we ensured socio- political stability in the country.
As 90 per cent of the Bumiputeras are Muslim, the NEP is almost synonymous
with enhancing the economic status of the ummah in Malaysia.
9. We were also original in the way we implemented privatization. While
the standard practice in developing countries is to sell government
assets and entities to foreigners, we sold Government assets and entities
to Malaysians. Since growth with equity should be at all levels, able
Bumiputeras were given more opportunities from the privatization process
so as to ensure that the Bumiputeras would be represented at the topmost
levels. As can be expected, this was criticized by the West which saw
the profits from Malaysia's privatization slipping from their hands.
They labeled the NEP as cronyism. But we were successful in balancing
the wealth of our multi-ethnic population even at the highest level.
10. We also implemented a unique system of Islamic banking, called
the dual system, where a full fledged Islamic banking system functions
in parallel with conventional banking system. Everyone, Muslim or non-
Muslim can avail themselves of the facilities of Islamic banking. It
is an approach which is accepted by everyone irrespective of religion
and it did not disrupt economic activities or affect growth.
11. We also established bilateral payments arrangements (BPAs) with
26 developing countries in order to reduce dependence on hard currencies
to finance trade. As a result our trade with the developing countries
increased by 400 per cent.
12. Our development strategy was successful. At the end of 1996, real
GDP was growing at almost 8.5 percent per annum for 10 consecutive years
and it looked like this rate of growth was going to continue for many
more years. By 1997 total external trade reached more than 157 billion
US Dollars, making Malaysia the 18th biggest exporting nation and the
17th biggest importing nation in the world, according to the World Trade
Organization (WTO). The Government was enjoying a fiscal surplus. The
external debt was generally low, at 40 per cent of GNP. The current
account of the balance of payments had narrowed from a deficit of 10
per cent to five per cent of GNP, and was expected to improve further.
Inflation was at its lowest at 2.1 per cent. On the financial front,
the banking system was sound as reflected in the strong capitalization
and the high asset quality. Malaysia's saving rate, at about 40 per
cent of GDP, was one of the highest in the world. The national savings
was sufficient to finance 95 per cent of total investment outlays.
13. Malaysia was clearly on the path of sustained growth towards achieving
a developed country status by the year 2020 when the financial crisis
hit the region in July 1997. Our currency was devalued to half what
it was. We implemented a number of measures to contain the downturn,
but all these measures failed. Many expected us to go to the IMF for
loans to tide over our crisis. But we did not do that. Calling in the
IMF would have been a disaster for the Malaysian ummah, as the NEP policies
are not in keeping with the IMF's idea of free unfettered competition
in which the strongest would take all. Equity is not of concern to the
IMF. Efficiency, maximizing profit for the already rich are.
14. We had to rack our brains for a solution which would still leave
us independent. Alhamdulillah, with the Guidance of Allah S.W.T., we
came out with a formula that saved the nation and the Malaysian ummah.
However, before I go into the formula that we implemented, namely the
selective exchange control regime, let me describe what happened in
July 1997.
15. When the Baht was attacked in July 1997, Malaysia was not unduly
worried. We knew that the Malaysian financial situation was much healthier
than that of Thailand. In the case of Thailand, the residents had been
borrowing large amounts of short-term off-shore funds to finance long
term domestic projects in Thailand. This strategy made sense to them
since the interest rate of the US Dollar was much lower than the Baht
interest rate. However, this strategy depended entirely on a stable
Baht exchange rate against the US Dollar.
16. It was for this reason that the Thai Central Bank tried to defend
the Baht during the initial stages of the speculative attack on the
currency. If the Thai Baht depreciated, paying debts in foreign currencies
would cost more Bahts. If the Thai borrowers were unable to earn enough
Bahts then a financial crisis would hit Thailand and the Baht would
depreciate further, deepening the financial crisis. And so the Central
Bank tried defending the Baht until it had practically no reserves left.
Unable to defend further the Central Bank decided to float the Baht
and this resulted in a more rapid fall. Thailand was in great financial
and economic trouble from which it could not come out by itself.
17. Although Malaysia was financially sound and could even prepay its
debts, the theory of contagion was invoked and the Malaysian Ringgit
must also depreciate. The currency traders therefore began to get rid
of their Ringgit in order to save themselves. But actually they owned
no Ringgit at all. They just saw a plausible excuse for the Ringgit
to fall and they precipitated it in order to make a fast buck for themselves.
18. As you know currencies do not have their own sensors to monitor
and react to the economic and financial performance of nations. They
do not know whether a country borrowed too much or too little, whether
they could pay or not pay debts, whether neighbouring currencies are
sick with infectious disease, whether there is good governance or not,
whether the Governments are not transparent, corrupt, given to cronyism
or nepotism. Currencies do not know but people do, and currency traders
in particular do. More than that the currency traders knew they could
manipulate the exchange value of currencies simply by massive selling
or buying of the particular currency. When the rogue traders saw that
a currency might fall all they did was to ensure and hasten the process
by borrowing that currency and selling it repeatedly. It is the selling
by the traders that caused the currency to fall and to fall lower than
justified by the economic performance of a country.
19. When the crisis hit Thailand, Malaysia's strong economic fundamentals
were totally ignored by the rogue traders. Screaming `contagion' they
then borrowed and sold the Malaysian Ringgit in a short-selling frenzy.
It was this frenzied selling that caused the Ringgit exchange rate to
depreciate sharply against the US Dollar. This was accompanied by the
pulling out of foreign short-term capital from the Malaysian stock market,
reducing market capitalization to a third of its original value and
putting most companies in distress.
20. The leadership of the country felt helpless. We correctly identified
the currency traders as the culprits behind the depreciation of the
Ringgit. As can be expected, the Malaysian leaders condemned the currency
traders for the rogues that they were. The Malaysian leaders were in
turn condemned by about everyone, from the managers of international
agencies to self-proclaimed experts and currency traders. All these
people maintained at that time, that the cause of the currency devaluation
was bad governance and all that was required to restore confidence and
ensure recovery of the currency was to replace bad governance with good
governance. These experts were convinced that the turmoil was temporary.
At that early stage of the crisis, only Malaysia saw the real long-term
danger in currency speculation.
21. After implementing a number of traditional measures, which failed,
we decided to implement the `unorthodox' formula of selective exchange
control. These measures were actually minimal. The most important were:-
i) The off-shore Ringgit market was eliminated and currency speculators
were prevented from having access to Ringgit funds. This was done by
`freezing' the external Ringgit accounts of the non-residents in Malaysian
banks. The non-residents can continue to invest freely in Malaysia using
their Ringgit funds, but they were no longer allowed to lend or sell
their funds to others. Unable to borrow or buy the Ringgits, the currency
traders were forced to stop their speculation.
ii) The Ringgit exchange rate was fixed against the US Dollar at 3.80,
which was the rate prevailing at the time control was imposed.
iii) A "12-month rule" was imposed prohibiting the repatriation
of portfolio funds for 12 months. This "12 month rule" was
necessary given the prevailing instability of the financial market.
There was the possibility that the bad publicity following Malaysia's
`unorthodox' measures could result in massive short- term capital outflows.
A 12 month restriction was therefore considered necessary. However,
when the situation stabilized 6 months later, this "12-month rule"
was replaced with a levy (for new funds) and subsequently even this
levy was diluted further to apply only to a minimal tax on dividends
in the stock market. Interestingly, when the 12-month rule expired in
September 1999 there was no massive outflow. The market perception had
obviously changed dramatically between September 1998 and September
1999. Foreign investors were happy with the appreciation of their shares
in the KLSE and the general performance of the Malaysian economy.
22. The primary objective of Malaysia's selective exchange control
regime implemented in September 1998 was for Malaysia to regain control
of its economy from the currency speculators and manipulators so that
Malaysians can decide the destiny of Malaysia. The measures implemented
were very carefully crafted so as to optimize the positive aspects of
globalization and remove the negative aspects of globalization. The
positive aspects of globalization that were retained were the complete
freedom in matters of international trade and foreign direct investments.
The liberal regime that governed trade transactions and foreign direct
investment were left unchanged. The negative aspects of globalization
that were eliminated were the off-shore market for the trading of Ringgit
and the free flow of short-term funds that easily destabilizes the economy.
Hence the selectivity of the controls.
23. How were we able to come up with this formula, while others could
not? The reason is that we took the trouble to understand how the foreign
exchange market works. We spent months studying the foreign exchange
market, the concept of off-shore Ringgit, the motivations of the foreign
exchange traders (greed and fear), the mechanism of pricing etc. Once
we understood how the foreign exchange market works, it was not difficult
to come out with a solution to neutralize the currency speculators.
24. At the same time, we also undertook a thorough study of how the
Central Limit Order Book or CLOB, an over the counter off-shore share
market, was able to trade in Malaysian securities in Singapore. This
was creating problems in the Malaysian equity market, as there was much
short selling of Malaysian shares through CLOB in Singapore. As CLOB
was outside Malaysia's jurisdiction, there was nothing we could do to
regulate it. Once we understood the detailed mechanism, we were able
to put a stop to CLOB in September 1998.
25. Once the selective exchange control measures were implemented and
CLOB was closed, both the currency and the share market stabilized.
The Government then took several measures to revive the economy. The
interest rates were lowered and credit was increased. Government expenditure
was increased by reviving projects which had been postponed during the
crisis. Contracts and sub-contracts helped businesses to recover.
26. We had set up a National Economic Action Council (NEAC) in 1997,
and the NEAC Executive Committee met everyday during the crisis. The
Executive Committee of the NEAC gave particular attention to the operations
of an asset management company (Danaharta), a bank recapitalisation
company (Danamodal) and the Corporate Debt Restructuring Committee (CDRC)
which were set up during the crisis to address the problems of non-performing
loans (NPLs) and bank recapitalisation. Danaharta was to carve out the
NPLs from the banking system so that the banks could refocus on their
function of lending to revive the economy. Danamodal was to recapitulate
the financial institutions and to bring up the capital strength of the
banking system to a much healthier level. The role of CDRC was to provide
a platform for companies and banks to come together and work out a debt-
restructuring program in an informal manner.
27. Once the selective exchange control measures were implemented,
the three organizations went into high gear. By March 31, 1999 Danaharta
had acquired NPLs amounting to 16 billion Ringgit, Danamodal had recapitulated
10 banking institutions amounting to 6.2 billion Ringgit, and the CDRC
was fully focused on the restructuring of a number of large companies.
28. The Executive Committee of the NEAC scrutinized every aspect of
the economy daily. Figures on trade performance, external reserves,
interest rates, lending by banks, sales of property and motor vehicles,
retail sales, tonnage and containers handled by the ports, passengers
and freight at the airports, details of goods manufactured and exported,
details on imports, new businesses registered and bankruptcies, unemployment
and job vacancies, wages, Government projects and contracts, electricity
consumed etc were all laid out daily before the Committee for discussion.
Quite often specific actions were immediately taken. When motor vehicles
were not selling well the Committee decided on special hire-purchase
terms and ensured that the prices were right.
29. Two property ownership campaigns were held to reduce the large
overhang in the property sector. The developers participated enthusiastically
in the property fairs bringing in their models and brochures and equipping
their booths with many sales people, while banks, insurance companies,
lawyers and Government officers concerned with registration of property
sales and other legal procedures were all brought under one roof. A
total of 6.4 billion Ringgit of properties were sold during these two
campaigns.
30. Malaysia's experience in handling the economic and financial turmoil
has a number of lessons for other developing countries, particularly
the Organization of Islamic Conference countries. The most important
lesson learnt from the experience is the need to know the true causes
of the downturn, how they work and the inter-relationship between different
factors. Once the details become known, it is not too difficult to design
a strategy to combat the forces causing the problem. Several solutions
may present themselves for any one problem and these solutions need
to be debated and tried out. Back-up solutions must be ready should
the chosen method fail. The implementation of strategy or solution requires
hands-on action by the decision makers, at least in overseeing the implementation
process and in taking corrective action.
31. Complete and continuous information on what is happening on the
ground is absolutely essential. Figures, graphs and charts tell a better
story than wordy reports. Explanations must be made orally by those
reporting. Of course those getting the reports must be sufficiently
knowledgeable on the subjects to be able to make assessments and to
decide on what action has to be taken. The system is important but the
people working the system are more important. In fact, the best system
by itself will only deliver partial solutions at most. The people manning
the system are the ones who make the system work.
32. An important lesson is that the Government must always be careful
in the management of its economy. It must never allow itself to be weakened
by carelessness in the maintenance of its financial and economic strength.
Only with absolute vigilance can we ensure that Malaysia's rate of growth
will be sufficient to achieve a developed country status as envisaged
in our Vision 2020.
33. The currency crisis is an unnecessary crisis and need not have
happened if the objective of the international financial system is really
to facilitate trade and other economic interactions between nations,
including foreign direct investments. But the big capitalist powers
want more than that. They want to promote their political agenda as
well, and it is because of this political agenda that the international
financial system not only permitted but at times even encouraged currency
trading, a totally unnecessary activity, which destroys more wealth
than what is made by the unscrupulous currency traders themselves.
34. The economic future of the Muslims is in the hands of the Muslims.
True, we live in a world dominated by non-Muslims economically and politically.
True, we live in a world which is not particularly fond of Muslims.
But there is nothing to prevent the ummah from rising again, if the
ummah wants to.
35. The most important change that the Islamic world has to make is
to accept reality and to adjust to it without deserting the fundamentals
of Islam. I use the word fundamental deliberately because the fundamentals
of Islam were what created the centuries of the glorious Islamic civilization.
The so-called Islamic fundamentalists of today are interested only in
the trappings of Islam and not the true fundamentals. Their way will
only lead to more and deeper schism among the Muslims, retarding their
progress and perpetuating their oppression by others. True `jihad' is
the struggle for Muslim unity, acquisition of Muslim statecraft, knowledge
and skills so that the Muslims will be freed of oppression and be able
to take their place as successful members of a regenerated Muslim civilization.
36. Once again I thank LARIBA for this award.